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Fueling the China race dragon in the oil market.
With 1 3 billion people, China is the most populous country in the world and the second largest consumer of oil behind the US In recent years, China has undergone a process of industrialization and is one of the economies with the fastest growth in the world with gross domestic product growing at a rate of 8-10 year, the needs China for energy is expected to increase 150 percent by 2020 to support its growth in China requires increasing amounts of oil its oil consumption increases by 7 5 this year, seven times faster than the growth of the United States in China's oil consumption has accelerated mainly due to a transition large-scale away bicycles and public transport to private cars, more affordable since China's accession to the World trade Organization therefore, by 2010, the China is expected to have 90 times more cars than in 1990 with a number of cars increasing to 19 a year, projections show that China could exceed the total number of cars in the US by 2030, another contributor to the sharp rise in auto sales is the low price of gasoline in China Chinese gasoline prices rank among the lowest in the world for oil importing countries, and are a third of the price retail in Europe and Japan, where the steep taxes are imposed to discourage the use of gasoline.
Where will China get its oil to China's ability to provide for its own needs is limited by the fact that its proven oil reserves are low compared to consumption in current production rates, they are likely to last less than two decades Although in the 1970s and 1980s, China was a net oil exporter, became a net oil importer in 1993 and is growingly dependent on foreign oil in China currently imports 32 of its oil and is expected to double its needs oil imports between now and 2010 a report from the international energy Agency predicts that by 2030, China's oil imports will equal imports by the United States today.
China waiting for the future growing dependence on oil imports has led to acquire interests in exploration and production in countries such as Kazakhstan, Russia, Venezuela, Sudan, West Africa, Iran, Saudi Arabia and Canada, but despite its efforts to diversify its sources, China has become increasingly dependent on oil from the Middle east Today, 58 of China's oil imports from the region by 2015, Middle East oil share will be held on 70 Though historically China has had no strategic interests longtime Middle East, its relationship with the region of where most of its oil comes is becoming increasingly important.
Implications for relations of the United States-China Relations US -China are influenced by a wide range of issues of Taiwan trade relations and human rights, but access certainly to oil from the Middle East will become a key issue in relations between the two powers is clear that in the short term, China recognizes that energy security is increasingly dependent on cooperation with the United States rather than competition with her China wants to maintain good relations with the United States and enjoy the economic benefits of such cooperation, but this trend is balanced by the feeling among many Chinese leaders that the United States seek to dominate the Persian Gulf in order to exercise control over its energy resources and attempts to contain China's aspirations in the US region is considered a threat m ajeure for China's long-term energy security Though China relies on oil development projects outside the Middle East, Beijing most likely insist on feeding its relations with the major oil producing states in the region as a insurance policy, but his attempts to gain a foothold in the Middle East and build a long-term strategic relationships with countries hostile to the United States could also focus heavily on the relations of the US -China particularly troubling are China sales in the region of weapons, its support for state sponsors of terrorism and the proliferation of dual use technology to a report by the security Commission of the United States -China examination, a group created by Congress, warned that increasing China needs imported energy has given it encourages closer countries supporting terrorism such as Iran, Iraq and Sudan a key factor in China's relationships with terrorist sponsoring governments is its dependence on foreign oil to fuel its economic development this dependence should increase over the next decade China's relations with the promoters of the State s terrorism has provided the country a lot of money, allowing them to continue to harbor terrorist organizations and to maintain a policy of oppression and exploitation of their people, China is the largest oil and gas importer from Iran the two countries are bound by energy deals reaching a total value of 120 billion euros and growth While the United States and the EU forged a diplomatic strategy to end the Iranian nuclear program, China signed in October 2004, its largest energy contract with Iran and never promised to block any American attempt to sent back er the Iranian nuclear program to the UN Security Council This may indicate not only that China is interested in a strong military, even nuclear Iran overlooking the Gulf, but also for China, energy security considerations advantage of international cooperation on global security issues critical addition to its close relations with Iran, China is also known to be a WMD technology provider to the red states including North Korea, Syria, Libya and Sudan.
China also provides conventional weapons that could threaten US military forces that secure the Persian Gulf are of particular concern in China sales to Iran anti-ship cruise missiles, which pose a threat to oil tanker traffic and ship US warships operating there that arms trafficking presents a growing threat to US interests in global security, particularly in the Middle East and Asia.
A key element of China's strategy to guarantee access to Persian Gulf oil is the special relationship it has cultivated with Saudi Arabia's ties with Riyadh back to the mid 1980s, when China sold the Saudi Arabia medium range ballistic missiles Since then, relations have moved closer high-level visits by Chinese leaders to Saudi Arabia culminated in 1999 with the state visit of President Jiang Zemin in which he delivered a strategic oil partnership between the two countries of China offered to sell intercontinental ballistic missiles Saudis Saudis have so far preferred to reject many proposals and to limit their purchases by China to maintain their special relationship with US but the continued deterioration of US-Saudi relations and, in the longer term, a regime change in the roya ume oil could lead the Saudis end their dependence on the US as the only guarantor of security of their regime and offer China a greater role.
Outside the Middle East, could the pursuit of China's oil to undermine the security interests on several fronts in the South China Sea, China is involved in territorial disputes with Malaysia, the Philippines, Taiwan, Vietnam and Brunei on access to energy in the Spratly and Paracel Islands in the East China sea, where oil reserves and rich gas are expected to exist, the rivalry is developing between China and Japan on access to China's energy resources has already begun the process of exploring the gas reserves on the side of the East China sea, the Japanese government said that some of the reserves are in fact on its side of the line and accused China attempt to extract hydrocarbons from the water, it has also allowed its own oil companies to drill in the disputed territories a movement considered a provoca tion by China another voltage source is access to Russian oil for several months, China and Japan have been involved in a bidding war over a major operation of pipeline to transport oil from Russia n China Eastern Siberia plan calls for a pipeline running to the Manchurian city of Daqing, while Japan insists on a pipeline that would link to Nakhodka, the Russian coastal zone against Japan this tense atmosphere feeds popular animosity and policy which have already led to a wave of violent anti-Japanese demonstrations in April 2005, and are likely to deepen over time in Africa Chinese oil companies close their eyes so petrodollars are used by local governments a place where American indifference impacts s effort to fight against corruption and human rights abuse is Sudan the Chinese have invested over 8 billion in exploration contracts in common in this country, including the construction of a pipeline 900 miles from the Red Sea, has deployed thousands of soldiers disguised as oil workers and provided weapons to the Sudanese government to support it in 20 years of civil war in the country in September 2004, the UN security Coun cil adopted resolution 1564, threatening Sudan with oil sanctions unless it curbed its support to the warring militia groups in Darfur protect its oil interests in Sudan, which provides seven percent of China's oil imports, Beijing has made it very clear he would veto any attempt to impose such sanctions in the Western hemisphere China concluded oil agreements and gas with Argentina, Brazil, Peru and Ecuador, but the country of main interest is Venezuela, oil supplier US fourth A series of oil agreements signed in early 2005 to allow Chinese companies to explore for oil and gas and build refineries in Venezuela Chinese state oil companies have also started looking for ambitious oil contracts Canada, the supplier of oil than the continuous penetration of the United States China in the Western hemisphere could have profound economic and political implications for the US given the fact that both US and domestic production of crude oil from Mexico are down, the United States can not afford to lose pieces of the raw product by the two countries that together provide a third of its oil imports with less oil available in the US market United States will be forced to seek this oil elsewhere, mainly in the Middle East, deve ing and more dependnet this tumultuous region.
The Center Nixon The U S -China Relationship deal with international security crises Three case studies post-September 11 bilateral relations Presentation Monograph Monograph Chapters.
Supply the Chinese dragon race on the oil market by Gal Luft, refueling, dragon, china.
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